上周五(4月13日)，美国和英国宣布对俄罗斯铝、铜和镍实施新的交易限制

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　　基本面要点
　　恐怖数据太恐怖：美国3月零售销售环比增长0.7%，大超预期的0.4%，创去年9月以来新高，前值由0.6%大幅上修至0.9%。市场对美联储降息预期再推迟，交易员不再完全预计11月之前降息。
　　铜价短期刺激：上周五(4月13日)，美国和英国宣布对俄罗斯铝、铜和镍实施新的交易限制。作为回应，伦敦金属交易所(LME)宣布暂停为4月13日后生产的俄罗斯金属出具仓单。截至3月底，俄罗斯金属已占LME铜库存的62%，不过俄罗斯旧金属可以继续交付，短期影响有限。
　　技术分析
　　周线图表分析


　　(铜的周线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4)
　　随机震荡指标：指标在超买区域发出上涨信号，暗示当前多头力量占据上方。基于铜价即将受阻去年1月份的高点，本周铜价或将面临调整。
　　均线指标：铜价自均线组支撑后一路上行，短期红色33周均线仍处于长期均线组下方，暗示当前价格上涨过快，或将有均线均值回调的行情发生。
　　4小时图表分析


　　(铜的4小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4)
　　随机震荡指标：指标在50中位线附近发出多头信号，随后铜价跌跌撞撞上涨，暗示多空正处于博弈阶段。整体铜价在不断上涨，但随机震荡指标却屡次背离市价并未出现新高，行情有较大回调风险需要警惕。
　　沃尔夫浪结构：铜价在突破4.23后却并未强势上涨，反而在回踩后形成沃尔夫浪结构。当前点5触及点1和点3的连接线，有一定概率出现回调，第一目标看向点4一带水平位。
　　Trading Central枢纽线指标


　　(铜的30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP)
　　根据Ultima Markets APP中的TradingCentral枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位4.3135，
　　4.3135之上看涨，第一目标4.3910，第二目标4.4035
　　4.3135之下看跌，第一目标4.2950，第二目标4.2765
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